2011probability the stock market goes up year by year?

You look back at the quotation 2010

Quotation 2011 is estimated, it is necessary first to look back at the past.When you rephrase, the verification which uses the past stock price data is necessary.This time you use Nikkei stock price average exponent, try looking back at the stock market n/a

Nikkei stock price average exponent 2010 started in 10,609 Yen, in April 11,408 Yen high prices, attached 8,796 Yen low prices in September, ended for 10,228 Yen.Nikkei stock price average 2010 approximately 3% becomes the shape which depreciates in comparison with preceding year end.
This time, it tried inspecting then concerning the probability where Nikkei stock price average rises in next year of the year when Nikkei average 3% or more depreciates in the preceding year.

Condition of verification is as follows.

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Verification object: Nikkei 225 stock price index

Buying condition
When final value 3% or more it is small in comparison with the final value of 364 days ago
January month for the first time buying

Sale condition
1 it sells after the years
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Because stock price rises should have inspected approximately probability, it made the condition of verification as simple as possible.

Then it will try verifying the verification result!

Verification result

Origin: Expert of system trade

Origin: Expert of system trade

winning percentage: n/a %
number of wins: 5 time
the number of lost: 6 time

average earnings (yen) : -7,057 yen average earnings (rate) : n/a %
average profit (yen) : 33,639 yen average profit (rate) : n/a %
the average loss (yen) : -40,971 yen the average loss (rate) : n/a %

total profit and loss (yen) : -77,629 yen total profit and loss (rate) : n/a %
total profit (yen) : 168,197 yen total profit (rate) : n/a %
total loss (yen) : -245,826 yen total loss (rate) : n/a %

profit factor (gross profit÷gross loss) : n/a

looking at the results of the validation, the previous year3%would say the following year the nikkei average fell over and has a higher probability of stock price falls. the nikkei average range of fluctuation of 20%from+17%, 8,182yen~11,966be said that between the circles.

when considering the investment strategy of this year from past data,
· likely to fall slightly higher than last year (winning percentage45%)
– the nikkei average range of variation8,182yen~11,966yen

what i say is not. future market, but of course i do not know anyone, by analyzing the data of past, i think the approximate strategy is to be freshly. please consider the investment strategy of the year also means you.

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(for verification of this theme, ( master of the trade system ) has been validated using the. the contents of the article should be construed as constituting an additional warranty, safety and accuracy of its contents, but do not guarantee the usefulness for users. officials can not assume the responsibility of the company and any. investment decisions thank you at your own risk. )

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